Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.011925 0.014508 0.017759 0.022249 0.028452 0.036985 0.050122
2025-02-16 0.008744 0.011608 0.015709 0.022326 0.033448 0.053007 0.094902
2025-02-23 0.007083 0.009918 0.014322 0.022222 0.037556 0.070549 0.167768
2025-03-02 0.005862 0.008499 0.012824 0.021173 0.039207 0.084886 0.266741
2025-03-09 0.005083 0.007585 0.011880 0.020719 0.041771 0.104443 0.458136
2025-03-16 0.004609 0.007071 0.011490 0.021191 0.046817 0.138691 0.987117
2025-03-23 0.004186 0.006567 0.010995 0.021256 0.050923 0.177919 2.338329
2025-03-30 0.003745 0.005959 0.010181 0.020324 0.051581 0.204656 5.037909
2025-04-06 0.003418 0.005519 0.009620 0.019849 0.053553 0.245621 16.700407
2025-04-13 0.003226 0.005304 0.009482 0.020414 0.059790 0.339545 712.303983
2025-04-20 0.003127 0.005250 0.009677 0.021958 0.071573 0.558465 NaN
2025-04-27 0.002999 0.005122 0.009682 0.022971 0.082421 0.898207 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002784 0.004822 0.009302 0.022903 0.089349 1.369538 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002601 0.004567 0.008999 0.023039 0.098579 2.369719 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002430 0.004317 0.008659 0.022933 0.106721 4.247105 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002237 0.003998 0.008097 0.021839 0.106492 5.932046 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002091 0.003770 0.007730 0.021365 0.111115 10.807361 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001999 0.003647 0.007621 0.021858 0.125882 43.378787 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001901 0.003500 0.007421 0.021925 0.137521 339.383075 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001777 0.003284 0.007006 0.020953 0.136296 1845.686059 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001680 0.003122 0.006719 0.020458 0.140545 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001625 0.003051 0.006676 0.021047 0.161387 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001601 0.003050 0.006833 0.022658 0.206102 NaN NaN